Predicting Extreme US Air Pollution Events

SPONSOR:

Environmental Protection Agency (EPA)

FUNDED AMOUNT:

$749,951

RESEARCH TEAM:

Lorenzo Polvani

PUBLICATIONS:

Mascioli, N., A.M. Fiore, M. Previdi, M. Ting (2016b), Timing and seasonality of the United States “warming hole”, submitted to Environ. Res. Lett.

Westervelt, D.M., L.W. Horowitz, V. Naik, A.P.K. Tai, A.M. Fiore, and D.L. Mauzerall (2016), Quantifying PM2.5-meteorology sensitivities in a global climate model, Atmos. Environ., 1352-2310, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosenv.2016.07.040

Barnes, E.A., A.M. Fiore, L.W. Horowitz (2016), Detection of trends in surface ozone in the presence of climate variability, J. Geophys. Res. Atmos., 121, 6112-6129, doi: 10.1002/2015JD024397.

Mascioli, N., A.M. Fiore, M. Previdi, G. Correa (2016a), Temperature and Precipitation Extremes in the United States: Quantifying the Responses to Anthropogenic Aerosols and Greenhouse Gases, Journal of Climate, 29, 7, 2689-2701, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0478.1.

Fiore, A.M., V. Naik, E.M. Leibensperger (2015), A summary of the 45th A&WMA Critical Review: Air quality and climate connections, Environmental Manager (EM), June, 31-35.

Fiore, A.M., Naik, V., Leibensperger, E.M. (2015), 2015 Annual A&WMA Critical Review: Air Quality and Climate Connections; J. Air & Waste Manage. Assoc., 65 (6), 645-685.

Rieder, H. E., A. M. Fiore, L. W. Horowitz, and V. Naik (2015), Projecting policy-relevant metrics for high summertime ozone pollution events over the eastern United States due to climate and emission changes during the 21st century, J. Geophys. Res. Atmos., 120, doi:10.1002/2014JD022303.

Clifton, O. E., A. M. Fiore, G. Correa, L. W. Horowitz, and V. Naik (2014), Twenty-first century reversal of the surface ozone seasonal cycle over the northeastern United States, Geophys. Res. Lett., 41, 7343–7350, doi:10.1002/2014GL061378.

Rieder, H., A.M. Fiore, L.M. Polvani, J.-F. Lamarque, Y. Fang (2013), Changes in the frequency and return level of high ozone pollution events over the Eastern United States following emission controls, Environ. Res. Lett., 8, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/8/1/014012.

Turner, A. J., A.M. Fiore, L.W. Horowitz, and M. Bauer (2013): Summertime cyclones over the Great Lakes Storm Track from 1860–2100: variability, trends, and association with ozone pollution, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 13, 565–578, doi:10.5194/acp-13-565-2013.

Fang, Y., A.M. Fiore, J.-F. Lamarque, L.W. Horowitz, M. Lin (2013), Using synthetic tracers as a proxy for summertime PM2.5 air quality over the Northeastern United States in physical climate models, Geophys. Res. Lett, 40, doi: 10.1002/grl.50162.

Barnes, E.A., and A.M. Fiore (2013), Surface ozone variability and the jet position: Implications for projecting future air quality, Geophys. Res. Lett., 40, doi:10.1002/grl.50411.

KEYWORDS

models particulate matter air quality climate ozone climate change sustainability air pollution aerosols hazards and risk reduction

THEMES

Modeling and Adapting to Future Climate