Unit Affiliation: Center for Climate Systems Research (CCSR)
DESCRIPTION: This research investigates the use of scenarios in decision making by comparing decisions using decision-support tools that provide forecasts either by presenting best-estimate probabilities or by presenting alternative scenarios.
OUTCOMES: 2011-2013: Researchers will conduct experiments on decision-making using a hypothetical fisheries example to measure the probability with which the subjects identify the successful adaptive strategy, or make the "right" decision. The results of the experiments will shed light on the social and psychological processes involved in complex, deeply uncertain policy decisions.
Advanced Peak Demand Forecast and Battery Dispatch Algorithms to Integrate Storage-Based Demand Response with Building Automation Systems
Analysis of the Operational Forecasts of the 2016/17 Ethiopian Drought
Best Practices for Estimating Forecast Uncertinity in Seasonal-to-Decadal Predictions
Climate Informed regional water resources and flood risk mitigation planning