Unit Affiliation: Ocean and Climate Physics, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory (LDEO)
The project will ensemble numerical modeling using atmospheric and partially coupled general circulation models forced with observed SST to determine the relationships among global and region SSTs, GHG forcing, and North American droughts in present and future climate.
OUTCOMES: A set of GCM simulations forced with tropical and subtropical Atlantic SST anomalies has been completed and six sets of hindcasts each comprising 75 one year runs also completed. Showed that SSTs could have predicted the Dust Bowl drought, but in the wrong area.
Abrupt Climate Change in a Warming World: Modern Instrumental Records - CFCs
Abrupt Climate Change in a Warming World: Synthesis of Tracer Data
ARCHES - Abrupt Climate Change in a Warming World: Lessons from Holocene Paleo and Modern Instrumental Records and Model Simulations
Atlantic Multidecadal Variability: Mechanisms, Impact, and Predictability: A Study using Observations and IPCC AR4 Model Simulations