The Mechanisms and Predictability of Multi-Basin Influences on North American Drought

Lead PI: Dr. Richard Seager

Unit Affiliation: Ocean and Climate Physics, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory (LDEO)

July 2008 - June 2013
North America
Project Type: Research

DESCRIPTION: The project will ensemble numerical modeling using atmospheric and partially coupled general circulation models forced with observed SST to determine the relationships among global and region SSTs, GHG forcing, and North American droughts in present and future climate.

OUTCOMES: A set of GCM simulations forced with tropical and subtropical Atlantic SST anomalies has been completed and six sets of hindcasts each comprising 75 one year runs also completed. Showed that SSTs could have predicted the Dust Bowl drought, but in the wrong area.