Type 1 Collaborative Research: Decadal prediction and stochastic simulation of hydroclimate over monsoonal Asia

Lead PI: Dr. Andrew Robertson

Unit Affiliation: International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI)

September 2011 - August 2015
Inactive
Asia ; Southeast Asia
Project Type: Research

DESCRIPTION: The project will develop and test statistical methods of river flow prediction, merge these predictions with GCM climate change projections, quantify uncertainties in these merged models, and test these models using hydrologic models for the Bhakra Beas Management Board reservoirs and the Yangtze River Three Gorges Dam.

SPONSOR:

Department of Energy

FUNDED AMOUNT:

$539,822

RESEARCH TEAM:

Upmanu Lall, Rosanne Dorothy D'Arrigo, Edward Cook, Padhraic Smyth, Michael Ghil, Aruthur Greene

COLUMBIA UNIVERSITY COLLABORATORS:

Center for Climate Systems Research (CCSR), Columbia Water Center (CWC), Lamont Doherty Earth Observatory (LDEO), Biology & Paleo Environment (B&PE)

EXTERNAL COLLABORATORS:

University of California Los Angeles

KEYWORDS

water global climate models decadal prediction climate variability monte carlo simulation bhakra beas management board predictability monsoon stream flow tree rings climate hydroclimate general circulation model probability density function

THEMES

Modeling and Adapting to Future Climate