Collaborative Research: Tropical Cyclone Tracks in Present and Future Climates

Lead PI: Dr. Suzana J. Camargo , Prof. Adam Sobel

Unit Affiliation: Ocean and Climate Physics, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory (LDEO)

September 2011 - August 2016
Inactive
Global
Project Type: Research

DESCRIPTION: The project will start by examining tropical cyclone tracks in global and regional climate models. The same analysis will be applied to potential future changes in climate. The second approach will be to use statistical-dynamic synthetic cyclone generators to model cyclone tracks. These two models will be compared.

OUTCOMES: The model had large biases compared to observations but improved when downscaled. The return rate on a Hurricane Sandy type storm is 714 years. There are more tropical cyclone landfalls when ST is higher.

SPONSOR:

National Oceanic & Atmospheric Administration/Department of Commerce

FUNDED AMOUNT:

$486,861

EXTERNAL COLLABORATORS:

Massachusetts Institute of Technology, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) National Climatic Data Center, University of Wisconsin-Madison

KEYWORDS

tropical cyclones global climate models ocean and climate physics climate models climate change predictability

THEMES

Modeling and Adapting to Future Climate