Groundswell II: Climate Change Migration Analysis for the West Africa Coastal Areas Management Program and Ethiopia
- Lead PI: Dr. Alexander de Sherbinin
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Unit Affiliation: Center for Integrated Earth System Information (CIESIN)
- October 2018 - March 2021
- Inactive
- Africa ; West Africa ; East Africa ; Ethiopia ; Lake Victoria
- Project Type: Research
DESCRIPTION: The project enhances a population gravity model first developed for the World Bank's Groundswell report (2018) to estimate the number of climate migrants out to 2050 under different emissions scenarios and socioeconomic pathways. The model projects population distributions with and without climate impacts on the crop and water sectors; differences are assumed to be owing to migration. Focus regions include West Africa, Lake Victoria Basin, and Ethiopia.