Dr. Andrew Robertson

Senior Research Scientist, International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI), Columbia Climate School
Lecturer, M.A. in Climate and Society Graduate School of Arts and Sciences
Program Leader,
230 Monell 61 Route 9W PO Box 1000 Palisades, NY 10964

BIOGRAPHY:

After graduating from the University of Leeds, UK, with a BS in mathematics and geography, Andrew Robertson received an MS from Imperial College, London in atmospheric physics and dynamics, and a PhD in atmospheric dynamics from the University of Reading in 1984, under the supervision of Brian Hoskins. He held postdoctoral and research positions at the Universities of Paris, Munich, and UCLA prior to joining the IRI in 2001.

PROJECTS

Only select projects listed below

Name	Start Date	End Date
Can Seasonal Climate Forecasts Improve Food Security in Indian Ocean Countries in Variation and Changing Climate	6/1/12	12/31/14
Can seasonal Climate Forecasts Improve Food Security in Indian Ocean Rim Countries in a Variable and Changing Climate	10/1/12	6/15/13
Continuation of the North American Multi-Model Ensemble (NMME)	10/1/18	9/30/21
Developing a Real-Time Multi-Model Sub-seasonal Predictive Capability	8/1/16	7/31/19
Development and testing of a multi-model ensemble prediction system for sub-monthly forecasts	5/1/15	4/30/18
Strengthening Climate Information Partnerships - East Africa (SCIPEA)	1/1/16	12/31/17
Sub X Continuation	8/1/18	9/30/21
Testing, Refinement and Demonstration of Probabilistic Multi-Model, Calibrated Subseasonal Global Forecast products	8/1/18	7/31/20
Type 1 Collaborative Research: Decadal prediction and stochastic simulation of hydroclimate over monsoonal Asia	9/1/11	8/31/15
USAID E3 Cooperative Agreement: Weather and climate information for climate-resilient development	7/27/11	9/27/15
Weather regime diagnostic tools for sub-monthly ensemble forecasts	1/1/17	12/31/18
Maintenance and Development of the Subseasonal Prediction Project (S2S) Database and Tools in IRI Data Library	9/1/19	8/31/21
West Africa Region: Seamless Operational Forecast Systems and Technical Assistance for Capacity Building (CREWS-West Africa)	1/28/20	6/30/21
How can climate services and technology improve livestock management in pastoral communities?	1/1/20	12/31/21
A Data Library Portal for South Asia	1/1/20	4/30/21
Weather Regime Tools for Subseasonal to Seasonal Forecasting of California Atmospheric Ridging Event	6/2/20	8/31/22
Maintenance and Development of the Subseasonal to Seasonal Prediction Project (S2S) Database and Tools in IRI Data Library	9/1/21	8/31/23
Innovative SubX Prediction Science: MJO-ENSO Interference	10/1/21	9/30/22
NMME Phase-2: New Innovation in Seasonal Prediction Science	10/1/21	9/30/22
Machine Learning-based Post-processing of Sub-seasonal to Seasonal Predictions of Subdivisional Rainfall over India	5/10/23	5/9/26
Developing Seasonal Forecasts and Associated Climate Information over the Arabian Peninsula	10/1/22	9/30/25
Enhancing Adaptive Capacity of Andean Communities through Climate Services (ENANDES) - Activity 1.4A	5/6/22	6/30/23
Seasonal and Subseasonal Climate Forecast Assessment for New York City Water Resource Managers	12/1/22	6/30/23

106 PUBLICATIONS ON COLUMBIA | ACADEMIC COMMONS

Only select publications listed below

Name	Published Date
A Multimodel Real-Time System for Global Probabilistic Subseasonal Forecasts of Precipitation and Temperature	2023
Recommendations for improved tropical cyclone formation and position probabilistic Forecast products	2023
The ENSO Fingerprint on Bangladesh Summer Monsoon Rainfall	2023
Flexible forecast presentation overcomes longstanding obstacles to using probabilistic seasonal forecasts	2022
Seasonal predictability of Ethiopian Kiremt rainfall and forecast skill of ECMWF's SEAS5 model	2021
Deterministic Skill of Subseasonal Precipitation Forecasts for the East Africa-West Asia Sector from September to May	2019
Probabilistic Skill of Subseasonal Surface Temperature Forecasts over North America	2019
Spatial Correction of Multimodel Ensemble Subseasonal Precipitation Forecasts over North America Using Local Laplacian Eigenfunctions	2019
Predictability of Recurrent Weather Regimes over North America during Winter from Submonthly Reforecasts	2018
Probabilistic Skill of Subseasonal Precipitation Forecasts for the East Africa–West Asia Sector during September–May	2018
Convection regimes and tropical‐midlatitude interactions over the Intra‐American Seas from May to November	2017
Multimodel Ensembling of Subseasonal Precipitation Forecasts over North America	2017
Subseasonal Predictability of Boreal Summer Monsoon Rainfall from Ensemble Forecasts	2017
Cross-time scales interactions and rainfall extreme events in southeastern South America for the austral summer. Part II: predictive skill	2016
Subseasonal-to-interannual variability of rainfall over New Caledonia (SW Pacific)	2016
Cross–Time Scale Interactions and Rainfall Extreme Events in Southeastern South America for the Austral Summer. Part I: Potential Predictors	2015
The International Research Institute for Climate and Society: why, what and how	2015
Weather types across the Maritime Continent: from the diurnal cycle to interannual variations	2015
The role of targeted climate research at the IRI	2014
Winter crop sensitivity to inter-annual climate variability in central India	2014
Contributions of individual variation in temperature, solar radiation and precipitation to crop yield in the North China Plain, 1961–2003	2013
Dynamical Structure of Extreme Floods in the U.S. Midwest and the United Kingdom	2013
Managing Climate Risk in Water Supply Systems	2013
Scenario development for estimating potential climate change impacts on crop production in the North China Plain	2013
Contributions of individual variation in temperature, solar radiation and precipitation to crop yield in the North China Plain, 1961–2003	2012
Diurnal Cycle in Different Weather Regimes and Rainfall Variability over Borneo Associated with ENSO	2012
Impact of the modulated annual cycle and intraseasonal oscillation on daily-to-interannual rainfall variability across monsoonal India	2012
International Research Institute for Climate and Society	2012
Prediction of Rice Production in the Philippines using Seasonal Climate Forecasts	2012
Prediction of Rice Production in the Philippines Using Seasonal Climate Forecasts	2012
Probabilistic prediction of Indian summer monsoon rainfall using global climate models	2012
Will climate change exacerbate water stress in Central Asia?	2012
Downscaling projections of Indian monsoon rainfall using a non-homogeneous hidden Markov model	2011
Enhancing the utility of daily GCM rainfall for crop yield prediction	2011
The Atmospheric Circulation over the North Atlantic as Induced by the SST Field	2011
Analysis of Intraseasonal and Interannual Variability of the Asian Summer Monsoon Using a Hidden Markov Model	2010
Early warning and response to fires in Kalimantan, Indonesia	2010
Interactions among ENSO, the Monsoon, and Diurnal Cycle in Rainfall Variability over Java, Indonesia	2010
Local versus regional-scale characteristics of monsoon onset and post-onset rainfall over Indonesia	2010
Managing climate risk in water supply systems : materials and tools designed to empower technical professionals to better understand key issues	2010
Oscillatory Climate Modes in the Eastern Mediterranean and Their Synchronization with the North Atlantic Oscillation	2010
Seasonal Predictability of Daily Rainfall Characteristics in Central Northern Chile for Dry-Land Management	2010
Tropical Oceanic Causes of Interannual to Multidecadal Precipitation Variability in Southeast South America over the Past Century	2010
Designing Index-Based Weather Insurance for Farmers in Adi Ha, Ethiopia: Report to OXFAM America, July 2009	2009
Designing Index-Based Weather Insurance for Farmers In Central America: Final Report to the World Bank Commodity Risk Management Group, ARD	2009
Hindcasts of Tropical Atlantic SST Gradient and South American Precipitation: The Influences of the ENSO Forcing and the Atlantic Preconditioning	2009
Seasonal predictability of daily rainfall statistics over Indramayu district, Indonesia	2009
Spatial Coherence and Seasonal Predictability of Monsoon Onset over Indonesia	2009
Spatio-temporal variability and predictability of summer monsoon onset over the Philippines	2009
Analysis of Indian monsoon daily rainfall on subseasonal to multidecadal time-scales using a hidden Markov model	2008
Clustering of eastern North Pacific tropical cyclone tracks: ENSO and MJO effects	2008
Weather Types and Rainfall over Senegal. Part II: Downscaling of GCM Simulations	2008
Weather Types and Rainfall over Senegal. Part I: Observational Analysis	2008
What Determines the Position and Intensity of the South Atlantic Anticyclone in Austral Winter?—An AGCM Study	2008
A role for tropical tropospheric temperature adjustment to El Niño–Southern Oscillation in the seasonality of monsoonal Indonesia precipitation predictability	2007
Cluster Analysis of Typhoon Tracks. Part I: General Properties	2007
Cluster Analysis of Typhoon Tracks. Part II: Large-Scale Circulation and ENSO	2007
Downscaling of seasonal precipitation for crop simulation	2007
Estimation of Seasonal Precipitation Tercile-Based Categorical Probabilities from Ensembles	2007
Graphical Models for Statistical Inference and Data Assimilation	2007
Probabilistic Clustering of Extratropical Cyclones Using Regression Mixture Models	2007
South Atlantic Variability Arising from Air–Sea Coupling: Local Mechanisms and Tropical–Subtropical Interactions	2007
Spatial Coherence of Tropical Rainfall at the Regional Scale	2007
Multiple Regimes and Low-Frequency Oscillations in the Northern Hemisphere’s Zonal-Mean Flow	2006
Seasonal Predictability and Spatial Coherence of Rainfall Characteristics in the Tropical Setting of Senegal	2006
Subseasonal-to-interdecadal variability of the Australian monsoon over North Queensland	2006
The Physical Basis for Predicting Atlantic Sector Seasonal-to-Interannual Climate Variability	2006
A Hierarchy of Data-Based ENSO Models	2005
Atlantic SST gradient and the influence of ENSO	2005
Bimodal Behavior in the Zonal Mean Flow of a Baroclinic β-Channel Model	2005
The American Monsoon Systems	2005
Conditional Chow-Liu Tree Structures for Modeling Discrete-Valued Vector Time Series	2004
Downscaling of Daily Rainfall Occurrence over Northeast Brazil Using a Hidden Markov Model	2004
Improved Combination of Multiple Atmospheric GCM Ensembles for Seasonal Prediction	2004
Mountain Torques and Northern Hemisphere Low-Frequency Variability. Part I: Hemispheric Aspects	2004
Mountain Torques and Northern Hemisphere Low-Frequency Variability. Part II: Hemispheric Aspects	2004
Circulation Regimes and Low-Frequency Oscillations in the South Pacific Sector	2003
Low-Frequency Variability in a Baroclinic β Channel with Land–Sea Contrast	2003
Seasonal Dependence of ENSO Teleconnections over South America and Relationships with Precipitation in Uruguay	2003
Simulations of the Atmospheric Response to South Atlantic Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies	2003
The role of Atlantic Ocean-atmosphere coupling in affecting North Atlantic oscillation variability	2003
Advanced spectral methods for climatic time series	2002
Midlatitude ocean-atmosphere interaction in an idealized coupled model	2002
"Waves" vs. "particles" in the atmosphere's phase space: a pathway to long-range forecasting?	2002
Influence of Ocean–Atmosphere Interaction on the Arctic Oscillation in Two General Circulation Models	2001
Interannual prediction of the Paraná River	2001
Mountain torques and atmospheric oscillations	2001
Ensembles of AGCM Two-Tier Predictions and Simulations of the Circulation Anomalies during Winter 1997–98	2000
Interannual and Interdecadal Variability of the South Atlantic Convergence Zone	2000
Interdecadal Changes in Atmospheric Low-Frequency Variability with and without Boundary Forcing	2000
Solving problems with GCMs: General circulation models and their role in the climate modeling hierarchy	2000
The Influence of Atlantic Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies on the North Atlantic Oscillation	2000
Large-Scale Weather Regimes and Local Climate over the Western United States	1999
Interannual and Decadal Cycles in River Flows of Southeastern South America	1998
Peruvian Stratus Clouds and the Tropical Pacific Circulation: A Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere GCM Study	1996
Simulation of the Tropical Pacific Climate with a Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere General Circulation Model. Part II: Interannual Variability	1995
Simulation of the Tropical Pacific Climate with a Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere General Circulation Model. Part I: The Seasonal Cycle	1995
The Seasonal Cycle over the Tropical Pacific in Coupled Ocean–Atmosphere General Circulation Models	1995
Diagnosis of Regional Monthly Anomalies Using the Adjoint Method. Part II: Potential Vorticity	1992
Diagnosis of Regional Monthly Anomalies Using the Adjoint Method. Part I: Temperature	1992

Staff and Affiliates Directory

Dr. Andrew Robertson

PROJECTS

106 PUBLICATIONS ON COLUMBIA | ACADEMIC COMMONS