Jeffrey Shaman

Interim Dean, Dean's Office, Columbia Climate School

Professor of Environmental Health Sciences and of Climate,

Mailman School of Public Health


Jeffrey Shaman, PhD, works in the fields of climate and environmental health, climate dynamics, infectious disease epidemiology, and infectious disease modeling and forecasting. He uses mathematical and statistical models to describe, understand, and forecast the transmission dynamics of disease systems, and to investigate the broader effects of climate and weather on human health. During the Covid-19 pandemic, his team built one of the first models to project the spread and understand the epidemiological properties of the SARS-CoV-2 virus.

Shaman has studied a number of climate phenomena, including Rossby wave dynamics, atmospheric jet waveguides, the coupled South Asian monsoon-ENSO system, extratropical precipitation, and tropical cyclogenesis.

Shaman was awarded his PhD by the Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences. He received an MA and MPhil from Columbia University in 2000 and 2002 respectively.



Only select publications listed below
Name Published Date
Estimating the infection-fatality risk of SARS-CoV-2 in New York City during the spring 2020 pandemic wave: a model-based analysis 2021
Investigating associations between COVID-19 mortality and population-level health and socioeconomic indicators in the United States: A modeling study 2021
Differential COVID‐19 case positivity in New York City neighborhoods: Socioeconomic factors and mobility 2020
Characteristics of measles epidemics in China (1951-2004) and implications for elimination: A case study of three key locations 2019
Development and validation of influenza forecasting for 64 temperate and tropical countries 2019
Improved forecasts of influenza-associated hospitalization rates with Google Search Trends 2019
Near-term forecasts of influenza-like illness: An evaluation of autoregressive time series approaches 2019
Predictability in process-based ensemble forecast of influenza 2019
Reappraising the utility of Google Flu Trends 2019
Assessing the Use of Influenza Forecasts and Epidemiological Modeling in Public Health Decision Making in the United States 2018
Association of spring-summer hydrology and meteorology with human West Nile virus infection in West Texas, USA, 2002–2016 2018
Conjunction of factors triggering waves of seasonal influenza 2018
Evaluation of mechanistic and statistical methods in forecasting influenza-like illness 2018
Hydrometeorology and flood pulse dynamics drive diarrheal disease outbreaks and increase vulnerability to climate change in surface-water-dependent populations: A retrospective analysis 2018
Use of temperature to improve West Nile virus forecasts 2018
Geospatial characteristics of measles transmission in China during 2005−2014 2017
Individual versus superensemble forecasts of seasonal influenza outbreaks in the United States 2017
Local environmental and meteorological conditions influencing the invasive mosquito Ae. albopictus and arbovirus transmission risk in New York City 2017
Subregional Nowcasts of Seasonal Influenza Using Search Trends 2017
The use of ambient humidity conditions to improve influenza forecast 2017
Type- and Subtype-Specific Influenza Forecast 2017
Forecasting Influenza Outbreaks in Boroughs and Neighborhoods of New York City 2016
Retrospective Parameter Estimation and Forecast of Respiratory Syncytial Virus in the United States 2016
Comparison of Filtering Methods for the Modeling and Retrospective Forecasting of Influenza Epidemics 2014
Influenza Forecasting in Human Populations: A Scoping Review 2014
Spatial Transmission of 2009 Pandemic Influenza in the US 2014
Environmental Predictors of Seasonal Influenza Epidemics across Temperate and Tropical Climates 2013
Predictors of indoor absolute humidity and estimated effects on influenza virus survival in grade schools 2013
The 1918 influenza pandemic in New York City: age-specific timing, mortality, and transmission dynamics 2013
Analysis of impacts of climate variability on malaria transmission in Sri Lanka and the development of an early warning system 2010
Analysis of impacts of climate variability on malaria transmission in Sri Lanka and the development of an early warning system 2010
Analysis of impacts of climate variability on malaria transmission in Sri Lanka and the development of an early warning system: Appendices 2010